Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Related Markets

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

8%-3.5%

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

31%+11.0%

Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

18%+3.0%

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

34%+1.5%

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

89%-0.5%

FAQ