₿cryptoEnds 7mo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes20.5%
79.5%No
$26.6M
Total Vol
$298K
24h Vol
$581K
Liquidity
-0.5%
24h Change
Market Signals
5.7
Score
-0.01
Momentum
91x
Vol Ratio
Yes
Vol Spike
$418K
Whale
56%
Consistency
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Related Markets
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
FAQ
What is "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 20.5% and No at 79.5%. This is based on $26,616,382 total volume.