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套利扫描器

跨市场扫描器，检测博彩公司和预测市场中的无风险套利机会和高期望值投注。

已更新: 2026年4月24日星期五

30

已分析赛事

12

检测到套利

1

价值投注

Polymarket

数据来源

套利机会

在30个赛事中检测到12个无风险套利

outrightArb

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

+208.17%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Polymarket

6.25x
49.3%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Polymarket

8.00x
38.5%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Polymarket

25.32x
12.2%

显示3个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

Netanyahu out by...?

+97.82%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Polymarket

2.30x
86.0%

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Polymarket

15.38x
12.9%

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Polymarket

181.82x
1.1%

显示3个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

+28.37%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket

3.81x
33.7%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket

11.98x
10.7%

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket

13.07x
9.8%

显示20个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

Presidential Election Winner 2028

+22.93%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

5.33x
23.1%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

5.80x
21.2%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

9.48x
13.0%

显示20个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

+15.54%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket

2.53x
45.6%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket

4.93x
23.4%

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket

18.02x
6.4%

显示19个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

Next French Presidential Election

+12.30%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket

4.65x
24.1%

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket

4.88x
23.0%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket

11.76x
9.6%

显示20个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

+6.61%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Polymarket

6.01x
17.8%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Polymarket

6.37x
16.7%

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Polymarket

9.01x
11.8%

显示20个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

Brazil Presidential Election

+3.36%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

2.59x
39.9%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

2.82x
36.7%

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

11.70x
8.8%

显示15个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

Eurovision Winner 2026

+2.56%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Polymarket

2.75x
37.2%

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Polymarket

8.37x
12.3%

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Polymarket

8.85x
11.6%

显示20个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注
outrightArb

LALIGA Winner

+0.76%
结果最佳赔率投注比例

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Polymarket

1.05x
95.7%

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Polymarket

23.53x
4.3%

显示2个结果中的前3个——按比例投注以锁定价差。

在Stake上投注

价值投注

前1个正期望值机会——按EV排序

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket
117.65x
+2832.3%
24.9%

工作原理

了解套利和期望值

套利投注

当不同博彩公司的隐含概率之和低于100%时，套利机会就会出现。通过对所有结果进行比例投注，无论结果如何都能保证获利。

If Σ (1/odds) < 1.0 → arb exists

利润率等于1减去隐含概率之和。利润率越高，保证回报越大。

期望值（EV）

当某个结果的真实概率高于赔率隐含的概率时，价值投注就存在了。期望值量化了每单位投注的长期优势。

EV = (True Prob × Decimal Odds) − 1

共识概率通过汇总多个来源的赔率得出。正EV意味着该投注在数学上长期是有利可图的。

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免责声明： 套利和价值投注数据仅供教育和信息参考。赔率变化迅速——投注前请务必核实最新价格。过去的表现不保证未来的结果。体育博彩和预测市场存在固有风险——切勿投入超过您能承受损失的金额。